Latest Poll Shows Perriello in Serious Trouble

The latest SurveyUSA poll provides more evidence that Democrat incumbent Tom Perriello may be cruising for defeat:

"Congressional District today, 09/28/10, Republican State Senator Robert Hurt defeats incumbent Democrat Tom Perriello 58% to 35%, according to this latest exclusive WDBJ-TV poll conducted by SurveyUSA.

Compared to identical SurveyUSA polls released 4 weeks ago and 10 weeks ago, the contest is unchanged. In 3 SurveyUSA polls, Perriello has received 35%, Hurt has received 58% or 61%. Early voting began 11 days ago, on September 17; among the 7% of voters who have already cast ballots, the race may be tighter, with Hurt 14 points atop Perriello.
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Perriello, who defeated 6-term Republican Virgil Goode by 727 votes in 2008, today is above 50% only among blacks, Democrats, liberals, those with unfavorable opinions of the Tea Party movement, pro-choice voters, and those who do not own guns -- none of which are majority groups among likely voters in Virginia's 5th district. Two polls released in September by Democratic pollsters show the Democrat Perriello trailing the Republican Hurt by a smaller margin than SurveyUSA shows here."