Monday, June 8, 2009

Moran, McAuliffe or Deeds?

Tomorrow Virginia Democrats will decide who to nominate for Governor. And who will win is anybody’s guess. Certainly, I have not figured it out, if you have read this blog over the last couple months you will know that I have been all over the map. I have gone from thinking that Moran would win because of his strong liberal voting record and Northern Virginia base, to thinking McAuliffe’s money would put him over the top, and now I am inclined to think that Deeds wins because of his perceived moderation, and therefore ‘elect ability’. Democrats may believe that Deeds is most likely to beat McDonnell, although Deeds already lost to him once.

Deeds has seen his lead grow in the latest polls. I am not sure why. Perhaps it was the Washington Post’s endorsement, or Toddy Puller’s seal of approval(please note some sarcasm). I have noticed Deeds road signs exclaiming “Washington Post Endorsed”. Gee the Washington Post helping a Democrat? Imagine that.

But Deeds is also helped by his opponents ‘inability to connect with voters. Terry McAuliffe seems to have all the appeal of a skunk at a picnic. Think about it, he has outspent his rivals, has more campaign workers by far and yet continues to slip in the polls. In fact more voters hold a net negative view of McAuliffe. You have to conclude that the more people see of him the less they like him.

Democrats also don’t seem to be warming to Brian Moran. I heard one Alexandria Democrat say that she was turned off by Moran’s ‘negative campaign.’ It may also be the case that many voters just don’t think Moran is ready to be Governor.

However, there are a number of things to watch tomorrow. A high turnout would probably help McAuliffe and Moran, especially in Northern Virginia. Deeds will probably benefit from higher turnout south of the Rappahannock.

We shall see what happens tomorrow.

(Photo By the Daily Press)

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